Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 7.401846 8.477378 9.670841 11.096164 12.755744 14.631435 16.918121
2025-02-23 5.873931 7.233675 8.867097 10.983953 13.669420 16.981955 21.407204
2025-03-02 4.950619 6.424216 8.299356 10.880071 14.370086 18.968959 25.559170
2025-03-09 4.278789 5.789645 7.803243 10.713120 14.859962 20.631620 29.403567
2025-03-16 3.741639 5.244443 7.327252 10.465113 15.143017 21.970371 32.896043
2025-03-23 3.514010 5.090570 7.357439 10.909891 16.438492 24.884242 39.093603
2025-03-30 3.243630 4.837012 7.203529 11.044172 17.255369 27.141902 44.549083
2025-04-06 2.968494 4.542774 6.949812 10.981387 17.732620 28.889716 49.373924
2025-04-13 2.719760 4.261721 6.682917 10.857808 18.078556 30.436605 54.036104
2025-04-20 2.596300 4.165773 6.696920 11.191415 19.224160 33.472351 61.805569
2025-04-27 2.468549 4.048920 6.661897 11.431019 20.221961 36.352132 69.691055
2025-05-04 2.385558 3.998037 6.730088 11.853686 21.591911 40.074320 79.787103
2025-05-11 2.187298 3.734288 6.411171 11.550593 21.582715 41.193876 84.796807
2025-05-18 2.040132 3.547775 6.211911 11.448520 21.947963 43.094746 91.774632
2025-05-25 1.907229 3.375171 6.021497 11.341291 22.285485 44.972291 98.989543
2025-06-01 1.778370 3.199058 5.808631 11.166697 22.461042 46.523315 105.693288
2025-06-08 1.651072 3.015559 5.565990 10.907154 22.425715 47.606747 111.449426
2025-06-15 1.621379 3.014764 5.673307 11.372667 24.001615 52.473651 127.360577
2025-06-22 1.556344 2.939973 5.628447 11.513225 24.872992 55.837549 140.029472
2025-06-29 1.474388 2.825340 5.494084 11.447505 25.266021 58.118057 150.223957
2025-07-06 1.392526 2.704755 5.337813 11.318152 25.494942 60.026827 159.736980
2025-07-13 1.362389 2.687218 5.393337 11.667361 26.905042 65.075359 179.125065
2025-07-20 1.324571 2.650747 5.405561 11.918199 28.104163 69.750014 198.343551